POLL: Biden Holds Democrat Unity, But Faces Skepticism Over 2024 Run in New Hampshire Poll
Jul 17, 2023Byline: Team American Pulse
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A comprehensive survey by American Pulse Research & Polling unveils some revealing trends concerning President Joe Biden's position with New Hampshire voters ahead of the 2024 election.
Why it matters: While Biden enjoys strong support from Democrats, questions about his age and mental competency are emerging, and only 38.1% of Granite Staters believe he should run again in 2024.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Unified Democratic Support: Despite concerns, Biden maintains near-unified support among Democrats.
Among likely Democratic Primary voters, Biden’s favorability is 88.6% and his net favorability is +78.4. Additionally, in a head-to-head matchup with Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, Biden receives support from 80.4% of likely Democratic Primary voters.
Biden's Re-election Doubts: Excitement for Biden seeking re-election is low in all categories as only 38.1% of all voters believe Biden should run in 2024. Age, health, mental acuity, and overall competency are prevalent concerns among voters.
Not surprisingly, just 15% of Republicans believe President Biden should seek re-election. When asked why, nearly ⅓ of those Republicans said Biden should run because he’s the easiest to beat.
As Breitbart News reported on the American Pulse poll, when you look at Democratic Primary voters, just 67.9% say Biden should seek re-election. Of the 28.4% that say Biden should not run, 72.1% of those voters say Biden shouldn’t run because he is too old.
Finally, only 34.1% of the always-coveted Independent voters say Biden should run again. A whopping 64.1% say Biden shouldn’t seek reelection and cite his age and competency as reasons to sit the 2024 election out.
The 'Not Woke' State: Half of the respondents identify as 'not woke', signaling potential rejection of certain progressive ideas.
Once again, we see a great difference between party affiliation and ‘wokeness.’ 3.5% of Republicans, 24.2% of Independents, and 50.9% of Democrats consider themselves to be ‘woke.’
When you look at ideology, the differences become even more stark. 4.0% of Conservatives, 24.2% of Moderates, 49.4% of Liberals, and 67.1% of Progressives consider themselves to be ‘woke.’
President Biden's strength in party unity but weakness in re-election enthusiasm creates a complex picture as the 2024 presidential race begins to take shape and being ‘woke’ is not a pathway to general election victory with Granite Staters.
The poll's multimodal methodology includes live telephone interviews, text-to-web interviews, interactive voice response, and online panel, offering a detailed perspective into the preferences and concerns of New Hampshire voters.
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