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POLL: Biden Holds Democrat Unity, But Faces Skepticism Over 2024 Run in New Hampshire Poll

Jul 17, 2023

Byline: Team American Pulse


A comprehensive survey by American Pulse Research & Polling unveils some revealing trends concerning President Joe Biden's position with New Hampshire voters ahead of the 2024 election.

Why it matters: While Biden enjoys strong support from Democrats, questions about his age and mental competency are emerging, and only 38.1% of Granite Staters believe he should run again in 2024.


Unified Democratic Support: Despite concerns, Biden maintains near-unified support among Democrats.

Among likely Democratic Primary voters, Biden’s favorability is 88.6% and his net favorability is +78.4. Additionally, in a head-to-head matchup with Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, Biden receives support from 80.4% of likely Democratic Primary voters.

Biden's Re-election Doubts: Excitement for Biden seeking re-election is low in all categories as only 38.1% of all voters believe Biden should run in 2024. Age, health, mental acuity, and overall competency are prevalent concerns among voters.

Not surprisingly, just 15% of Republicans believe President Biden should seek re-election. When asked why, nearly ‚Öď of those Republicans said Biden should run because he’s the easiest to beat.

As Breitbart News reported on the American Pulse poll, when you look at Democratic Primary voters, just 67.9% say Biden should seek re-election. Of the 28.4% that say Biden should not run, 72.1% of those voters say Biden shouldn’t run because he is too old.

Finally, only 34.1% of the always-coveted Independent voters say Biden should run again. A whopping 64.1% say Biden shouldn’t seek reelection and cite his age and competency as reasons to sit the 2024 election out.  

The 'Not Woke' State: Half of the respondents identify as 'not woke', signaling potential rejection of certain progressive ideas.

Once again, we see a great difference between party affiliation and ‘wokeness.’ 3.5% of Republicans,  24.2% of Independents, and 50.9% of Democrats consider themselves to be ‘woke.’

When you look at ideology, the differences become even more stark. 4.0% of Conservatives, 24.2% of Moderates, 49.4% of Liberals, and 67.1% of Progressives consider themselves to be ‘woke.’   

President Biden's strength in party unity but weakness in re-election enthusiasm creates a complex picture as the 2024 presidential race begins to take shape and being ‘woke’ is not a pathway to general election victory with Granite Staters.

The poll's multimodal methodology includes live telephone interviews, text-to-web interviews, interactive voice response, and online panel, offering a detailed perspective into the preferences and concerns of New Hampshire voters.


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